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Monday, January 17, 2011

Bettsville Preview – Quant version

Fast facts


Opponent: Bettsville
Enrollment (9-12): 83
Division/League: D-IV / Midland Athletic League
Team Nickname: Bobcats

Bettsville capsule summary from the BlanchardRiverBuzz blog

HEAD COACH: Mike Haynes (2nd year, 16-26).

2009-10 RECORD: 11-10 overall, 5-6 Midland Athletic League.
2010-11 Record: 5-5, 2-3

RETURNING LETTERWINNERS: Eric Bender, 6-3, sr., C/F, 5.7 ppg, 4.1 rpg, 0.5 apg; Brandon Butler, 6-1, sr., G/F, 5-0 ppg, 3.7 rpg, 1.0 apg; Ryan Hartsel, 6-2, sr., C/F, 0.7 ppg, 0.8 rpg; Dakota Wright, 5-9, sr., G, 4.0 ppg, 1.7 rpg, 0.6 apg.

OTHER PROSPECTS: Dominic King, 5-10, jr., G; Dominic Miccichi, 6-2, jr., C/F; Taylor Blausey, 6-0, jr., G/F; Jacob Hossler, 6-0, jr., G.

Statistical analysis

Statistics are published by the MAL, and are through January 10, 2011 – nine games for Bettsville

Offense

Bettsville is 7th in the 12 team MAL averaging 51.7 per game. The Bobcats look like an up-tempo team. They have attempted 336 two point and 135 three point shots, ranking first in the league per game in both categories. Their shooting percentages are middle of the pack at 45% for two’s and at the low end of the three point percentage at 21%. Bettsville also gets to the line more than all but one MAL team, going 89-166, a 54% rate.

Bettsville features two top-ten MAL scorers, Senior Guard Dakota Wright, in 7th place with a 13.0 ppg average and Dominic Miccichi, 10th in MAL play averaging 12.0 points per game. Wright is second in the MAL in free throw percentage, converting 81.8% of his tries.

Senior Eric Bender is the top percentage shooter for Bettsville, firing in 53.6% of his shots, closely followed by Wright at 50.8%.

The Bobcats average 29 rebounds per game, fourth in the league. Senior Eric Bender averages 7.2 rebounds, 6th in the MAL, and Dominic Miccichi pulls 6.4 on average. The offense gives away about 18 turnovers per game.

Defense

As the up–tempo offense giveth, the up-tempo offense taketh away. The Bobcats rank 10th in MAL defense, surrendering 57.9 points per game. This appears to be principally a function of the number of inside shots the opponents get off. Bobcat foes have attempted 382 two point shots vs. 328 for Bettsville and are marginally more successful at 47%. This is partially offset by a lower number of threes attempted (101 vs. 135 for Bettsville) but again, the success rate of 23% is slightly higher than our upcoming opponents’.

Bettsville’s opponents have been to the line 170 times, which makes the Bobcats the hackin'-est team in the MAL by a big margin. They generate 17.9 turnovers per game, about as many as they have themselves.

Opponents average 30.4 rebounds per game against Bettsville, the third higest total for MAL foes. They appear to have some struggles on the offensive glass, giving up 101 offensive rebounds in nine games. Overall, Bettsville’s opponents average 1.4 more rebounds per game than the Bobcats.

Looking at the record

Bettsville has played only one game against a team with a better-than-.500 record, losing to MV scrimmage opponent, 6-5 Lake by a 68-47 score. The Bobcats are 2-0 against TAAC competition, defeating Danbury 54-45 on the Marblehead Peninsula and Northwood 57-53 on the Rangers home court.

Last year

MV won big at home, 63-43, then lost to the Bobcats in the first round of the Sectionals ending the Hawks 2009-10 season.

Weather woes??

Here’s your forecast from the NOAA website for the Bettsville area as of 6pm Monday.

Tuesday: Rain or freezing rain, becoming all rain after noon. High near 37. South wind 8 to 10 mph becoming west. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

Tuesday Night: Rain and snow likely, becoming all snow after 10pm. Cloudy, with a low around 19. North wind between 8 and 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.

Sheesh.

Hawkblog notes…if the game gets played, it could be Coach Robinson’s 500th win…several of Coach’s friends will be traveling to the game…Bettsville’s gym is a unique affair – a combination stage and gym…

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